{"id":3926,"date":"2025-09-15T11:58:26","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T17:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seal.com.gt\/?p=3926"},"modified":"2025-09-15T11:58:39","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T17:58:39","slug":"el-freno-economico-de-latinoamerica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/seal.com.gt\/en\/el-freno-economico-de-latinoamerica\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfRazones del freno econ\u00f3mico en Latinoam\u00e9rica?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Mexico<\/strong>&nbsp;y<strong>&nbsp;Brasil<\/strong>, dos mercados clave en&nbsp;<strong>Am\u00e9rica Latina<\/strong>, ser\u00e1n los pa\u00edses que<strong>&nbsp;lideren el estancamiento econ\u00f3mico de la regi\u00f3n debido a la ca\u00edda en las remesas<\/strong>, el enfriamiento del consumo y la bajada en los precios de las materias primas, se\u00f1alaron desde&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/seal.com.gt\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>SEAL, Servicios Especializados de Aduana y Log\u00edstica.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tal como publica Europa Press, en un informe sobre las perspectivas econ\u00f3micas de<strong>Am\u00e9rica Latina<\/strong>&nbsp;elaborado por la compa\u00f1\u00eda de seguros de cr\u00e9dito, de cauci\u00f3n y de servicios de riesgos comercial, Solunion, con datos de Allianz Trade, los autores del texto destacan el estancamiento previsto de las econom\u00edas latinoamericanas en 2025, un&nbsp;<strong>efecto impulsado en algunos casos por la volatilidad en los flujos comerciales<\/strong>&nbsp;para evitar los aranceles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si bien M\u00e9xico ha sido uno de los pa\u00edses que mejor ha conseguido sortear el proteccionismo estadounidense, la confianza del consumidor registra descensos desde la \u00faltima parte de 2024, tras las elecciones ganadas por<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/trump-da-respiro-a-china-prorroga-de-90-dias-a-la-guerra-arancelaria\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>&nbsp;Donald Trump<\/strong><\/a>. Este pa\u00eds se enfrenta a la revisi\u00f3n del<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/mario-juarez-socio-en-garrigues-y-el-impacto-del-t-mec-para-mexico\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>&nbsp;T-MEC<\/strong><\/a>, el tratado comercial entre M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1, prevista para 2026 y a su alta dependencia del ciclo pol\u00edtico y econ\u00f3mico de Estados Unidos, seg\u00fan adelantan los autores del informe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En el caso de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/brasil-descarta-estar-en-guerra-tarifaria-con-estados-unidos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Brasil<\/strong><\/a>, donde se registra un crecimiento modesto pero constante gracias al consumo y a un gasto p\u00fablico superior al previsto, la recuperaci\u00f3n del real se ha logrado a un coste elevado en t\u00e9rminos de cr\u00e9dito e inversi\u00f3n. Al mismo tiempo,&nbsp;<strong>el pa\u00eds sufre en la actualidad una desaceleraci\u00f3n del cr\u00e9dito, en l\u00ednea con M\u00e9xico, agregaron desde&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/seal.com.gt\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SEAL, Servicios Especializados de Aduana y Log\u00edstica.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Argentina al alza<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Argentina es el pa\u00eds latinoamericano que compensar\u00e1 parcialmente la&nbsp;<strong>desaceleraci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;de sus vecinos. El conjunto de medidas de estabilizaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica impulsado por Javier Milei est\u00e1 consiguiendo que el pa\u00eds salga lentamente de la recesi\u00f3n, aunque se prev\u00e9 que la inflaci\u00f3n ronde el 24% al cierre del ejercicio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Respecto a la pol\u00edtica monetaria, persiste el riesgo de debilitaci\u00f3n de las monedas locales si las tasas de inter\u00e9s no descienden antes de tiempo y la Reserva Federal estadounidense no reanuda los recortes. En este caso, las econom\u00edas m\u00e1s dolarizadas, como son M\u00e9xico y Chile, su impulso adicional al&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/crecimiento-economico-de-alc-el-2025-segun-el-banco-mundial\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>crecimiento se ver\u00eda casi anulado por el efecto de las divisas sobre los precios<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Otros pa\u00edses, como&nbsp;<strong>Chile<\/strong>, han registrado un repunte de su consumo en 2024 por el mayor poder adquisitivo derivado de la revalorizaci\u00f3n del cobre y a la relativa<strong>&nbsp;estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El informe apunta que&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/colombia-y-panama-aprueban-negocio-energetico-en-alc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Colombia<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;enfrenta un elevado riesgo fiscal, adem\u00e1s de incertidumbre pol\u00edtica y problemas de seguridad y una<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/made-in-usa-apple-hara-inversion-multimillonaria-para-blindar-su-produccion-en-ee-uu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>&nbsp;inversi\u00f3n fija<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/a>reducida que no se compensa con un mayor crecimiento impulsado por el consumo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por su parte,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/envios-express-y-su-contribucion-para-la-estabilidad-del-comercio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Per\u00fa sostiene una estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica apoyada en las exportaciones<\/strong><\/a>, con un desempleo e inflaci\u00f3n reducidos, pero con un consumo interno d\u00e9bil y una producci\u00f3n minera que ha ca\u00eddo debido a emergencias y paros en grandes operaciones de hierro y oro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En paralelo, si bien&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/noboa-gana-segunda-vuelta-y-es-reelegido-presidente-de-ecuador\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Ecuador muestra signos de recuperaci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/a>, con una evoluci\u00f3n positiva del sector primario, en especial por el cacao, el crecimiento per c\u00e1pita contin\u00faa siendo inferior al de los pa\u00edses vecinos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Centroam\u00e9rica<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>En&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/centroamerica-invierte-en-corredor-seco-y-zonas-aridas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Centroam\u00e9rica<\/strong><\/a>, las proyecciones para 2026 anticipan un escenario de<strong>&nbsp;crecimiento moderado<\/strong>&nbsp;y con riesgos de estancamiento encabezado por econom\u00edas como&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/argentina-y-el-salvador-firman-acuerdos-en-energia-nuclear\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>El Salvador<\/strong><\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/honduras-santa-lucia-es-la-primera-ciudad-bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Honduras<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;y&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/puerto-corinto-estrena-carretera-estrategica-en-el-pacifico\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Nicaragua<\/strong><\/a>, donde la dependencia de remesas, la baja inversi\u00f3n extranjera y la fragilidad institucional limitan la capacidad de expansi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A diferencia de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/autoridades-del-canal-de-panama-buscan-bajar-la-contaminacion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Panam\u00e1<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;y&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mascontainer.com\/costa-rica-se-distancia-de-china-y-mira-a-medio-oriente\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Costa Rica<\/strong><\/a>, que muestran se\u00f1ales de mayor resiliencia gracias a su diversificaci\u00f3n log\u00edstica y de servicios,&nbsp;<strong>el resto de la regi\u00f3n se ver\u00e1 presionada por el encarecimiento del cr\u00e9dito<\/strong>, la volatilidad de los precios internacionales y la vulnerabilidad frente al cambio clim\u00e1tico, factores que podr\u00edan consolidar una brecha interna en la din\u00e1mica econ\u00f3mica centroamericana.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00e9xico&nbsp;y&nbsp;Brasil, dos mercados clave en&nbsp;Am\u00e9rica Latina, ser\u00e1n los pa\u00edses que&nbsp;lideren el estancamiento econ\u00f3mico de la regi\u00f3n debido a la ca\u00edda en las remesas, el enfriamiento del consumo y la bajada en los precios de las materias primas, se\u00f1alaron desde&nbsp;SEAL, Servicios Especializados de Aduana y Log\u00edstica. Tal como publica Europa Press, en un informe sobre las [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":3927,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[61,86,55],"class_list":["post-3926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-guatemala","tag-latinoamerica","tag-seal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfEl freno econ\u00f3mico de Latinoam\u00e9rica?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ca\u00edda en las remesas, el enfriamiento del consumo y la bajada en los precios de las materias primas ser\u00edan algunas de las causas.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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